2027 WNBA Draft Lottery Odds, Simulator and Live Results (Nov 15)
Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026, 4:30 to 5:00 p.m. PT (7:30 to 8:00 p.m. ET), on ESPN after UConn vs. Louisville and on TSN in Canada. This is the lottery, not the April 12, 2027 draft, and not the April 3, 2026 expansion draft. Data through Oct. 28, 2026.
Lottery simulator
One draw is random. The 10,000-draw button uses seed 20261115.
No draw yet.
Chance of every pick
Houston and Toronto each hold 329 of 1,000 combinations.
| Slot | Record | Chances | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Top 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 22-66 | 329 | 32.9% | 28.8% | 38.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 61.7% |
| Toronto | 11-33 | 329 | 32.9% | 28.8% | 29.5% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 61.7% |
| Washington (from Chicago) | 26-62 | 161 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 32.3% | 30.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.0% |
| Seattle | 31-57 | 93 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 60.7% | 17.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 21.1% |
| Portland | 17-27 | 52 | 5.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 80.0% | 7.9% | 0.1% | 12.0% |
| Los Angeles (own pick) | 37-51 | 24 | 2.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 91.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% |
| Los Angeles (from Phoenix) | 43-45 | 12 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 97.2% | 2.8% |
Top 2: 61.7%No. 1: 32.9%
#1 32.9#2 28.8#3 38.3
Top 2: 61.7%No. 1: 32.9%
#1 32.9#2 28.8#3 29.5#4 8.8
Top 2: 35.0%No. 1: 16.1%
#1 16.1#2 18.9#3 32.3#4 30.5#5 2.2
Top 2: 21.1%No. 1: 9.3%
#1 9.3#2 11.8#4 60.7#5 17.8#6 0.4
Top 2: 12.0%No. 1: 5.2%
#1 5.2#2 6.8#5 80.0#6 7.9#7 0.1
Top 2: 5.6%No. 1: 2.4%
#1 2.4#2 3.2#6 91.6#7 2.8
Top 2: 2.8%No. 1: 1.2%
#1 1.2#2 1.6#7 97.2
Source: WNBA release, Oct. 28, 2026. Data through Oct. 28, 2026. Methods: exact enumeration of the 42 orders for picks 1 and 2. P(second | first) = remaining chances / (1,000 minus the winner's chances). Los Angeles, counting both picks, has an 8.4% chance that at least one of them is in the top two. Free to use and republish (CC0). Download CSV (CC0).
How the drawing works
The league puts 14 balls, numbered 1 through 14, in the machine and draws four. That is 1,001 combinations. One combination is left unassigned, so 1,000 are in play. The slot that owns the combination gets pick 1. The four balls go back in, and the same draw sets pick 2. If the machine hits the unassigned combination, or a combination owned by the slot that already won, it draws again.
Picks 3 through 7 are not drawn. They follow the pre-lottery order among the five slots still waiting. That order, worst record first, is Houston, Toronto, Washington (Chicago's pick), Seattle, Portland, Los Angeles (own pick), Los Angeles (Phoenix's pick).
Five of the records are two seasons added together, 2025 and 2026: Chicago 26-62, Houston 22-66, Los Angeles 37-51, Phoenix 43-45, and Seattle 31-57. Portland and Toronto were expansion teams in 2026, so their odds use 2026 only: Portland 17-27 and Toronto 11-33. Houston and Toronto both land at .250, so each receives 329 combinations.
The tie
The release uses the 2026 head-to-head as the first tiebreaker. Houston, then the Connecticut Sun, went 1-2 against Toronto. The three games are in the site schedule file, which was taken from the WNBA schedule: Toronto 106, Connecticut 102 on June 10; Toronto 101, Connecticut 97 on June 19; Connecticut 95, Toronto 81 on Sept. 24. Houston therefore sits ahead of Toronto. Houston's latest possible pick is No. 3. Toronto's latest possible pick is No. 4.
The traded picks
Washington holds Chicago's pick. The Oct. 28 footnote says Chicago traded its own 2027 first-round pick to Washington for Ariel Atkins on Feb. 23, 2025. The team releases that day describe the first-round piece as the right to swap Washington's own 2027 first with Chicago's own 2027 first, plus Chicago's 2027 second-round pick. Those are the Mystics release and the league release on the Sky deal. This page follows the Oct. 28 lottery assignment for the combinations. It does not assign Washington's own first-rounder.
Los Angeles holds Phoenix's pick. The league's trade-deadline note says Los Angeles sent Kelsey Plum to Phoenix for Monique Akoa Makani, a 2027 first-round pick, and a 2028 second-round pick. The lottery footnote dates that deal Aug. 2, 2026.
Houston is the relocated Connecticut Sun. The May 13, 2026 sale release says the club stays in Connecticut for 2026 and moves to Houston for 2027, under Tilman J. Fertitta. The team URL on this site is still /wnba/teams/connecticut-sun/.
Bethany Donaphin, head of league operations, reveals the result on ESPN. Ernst & Young oversees the drawing. The presentation name on the release is State Street Investment Management SPY. ESPN is airing the lottery for the 15th year in a row.
What the 2026 rosters look like
Each card is the 2026 roster tied to that lottery pick.
Guards logged 55.0% of these minutes. 3 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends. These minutes are the 2026 Connecticut Sun. The club plays 2027 as the Houston Comets.
Guards logged 48.3% of these minutes. 7 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends.
Guards logged 51.8% of these minutes. 3 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends. The lottery pick is Chicago's. This card is the Mystics roster that would make the selection.
Guards logged 48.4% of these minutes. 6 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends.
Forwards logged 42.1% of these minutes. 5 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends.
Guards logged 58.6% of these minutes. 8 player rows are unrestricted if the contract ends. Both Los Angeles lottery slots use this roster. Phoenix's pick has a 2.8% chance at a top-two selection.
Minutes are 2026 regular-season per-game averages times games played, from the player file checked Nov. 8, 2026. Weighted age is the Oct. 28, 2026 WNBA.com roster snapshot in that file, weighted by those minutes. The bar splits the same minutes by position. Unrestricted is the count of player rows the 2027 free-agency page marks UFA if the contract ends. Restricted and reserved rows still need a qualifying offer. That file is not the league's February list. The four names on each card are the highest minute totals. Headshots are approved player photographs already on this site. A name with initials has no approved photograph.
Early prospect board
Order is the Ultimate Big Board snapshot calculated Oct. 29, 2026. It is a consensus of mocks, not a draft.
1. JuJu Watkins
G, 6-2, USCPhoto: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2024-25 at USC, 33 games: 2.2 steals, 1.8 blocks.
2026-27 at USC, 1 game posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 21.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists.
2. Madison Booker
F, 6-1, TexasPhoto: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at Texas, 39 games: 2.2 steals, 0.7 blocks.
2026-27 at Texas, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 27.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 5.5 assists.
3. Hannah Hidalgo
G, 5-7, Notre DamePhoto: Hameltion, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at Notre Dame, 36 games: 5.6 steals, 0.3 blocks.
2026-27 at Notre Dame, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 29.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 5.0 assists.
4. S'Mya Nichols
G, 6-0, Kansas2025-26 at Kansas, 36 games: 1.1 steals, 0.2 blocks.
2026-27 at Kansas, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 13.5 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists.
5. Mikaylah Williams
G, 6-0, LSUPhoto: CCS Pictures, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at LSU, 35 games: 1.4 steals, 0.2 blocks.
2026-27 at LSU, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 19.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, 5.5 assists.
6. MiLaysia Fulwiley
G, 5-9, LSUPhoto: Gamecock Central, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at LSU, 35 games: 2.8 steals, 1.4 blocks.
2026-27 at LSU, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 17.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 5.0 assists.
7. Audi Crooks
C, 6-3, Oklahoma StatePhoto: Jar-Lar, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at Iowa State, 31 games: 0.3 steals, 0.8 blocks.
2026-27 at Oklahoma State, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 18.0 points, 9.0 rebounds, 0.0 assists.
8. Oluchi Okananwa
G, 5-10, MarylandPhoto: Hameltion, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at Maryland, 33 games: 2.2 steals, 0.2 blocks.
2026-27 at Maryland, 1 game posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 11.0 points, 9.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists.
9. Ashlyn Watkins
F, 6-3, South CarolinaPhoto: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2024-25 at South Carolina, 14 games: 1.3 steals, 1.9 blocks.
2026-27 at South Carolina, 1 game posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 7.0 points, 10.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists.
11. Clara Strack
C, 6-5, KentuckyPhoto: CCS Pictures, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
2025-26 at Kentucky, 36 games: 1.2 steals, 2.5 blocks.
2026-27 at Kentucky, 2 games posted by Nov. 9, 2026: 14.0 points, 9.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists.
Every counting line is from the linked Sports-Reference page, read Nov. 9, 2026. The 2026-27 lines are one or two games. Headshots are Wikimedia Commons photos credited on each card. S'Mya Nichols has no freely licensed photo, so her card uses initials. JuJu Watkins: Sports-Reference has no 2025-26 season for her. MiLaysia Fulwiley: Her 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons on that page are at South Carolina. Audi Crooks: Only 3 of 8 mocks on that board include her, so this rank is softer than the names above. Oluchi Okananwa: Her 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons on that page are at Duke. Ashlyn Watkins: The 2024-25 line is 14 games. Her 2023-24 line on that page is 38 games, 9.2 points and 7.4 rebounds. Clara Strack: Listed 11th on that board, in all 8 mocks. The board's 10th name, Taliah Scott, was in 1 of 8 mocks and had no school, so she is not carded here.
Live results
The drawing has not taken place yet. Picks 8 through 15 stay to be confirmed.
- Pick 1: Not drawn yet
- Pick 2: Not drawn yet
- Pick 3: Not drawn yet
- Pick 4: Not drawn yet
- Pick 5: Not drawn yet
- Pick 6: Not drawn yet
- Pick 7: Not drawn yet
- Pick 8: to be confirmed
- Pick 9: to be confirmed
- Pick 10: to be confirmed
- Pick 11: to be confirmed
- Pick 12: to be confirmed
- Pick 13: to be confirmed
- Pick 14: to be confirmed
- Pick 15: to be confirmed
The lottery is drawn Nov. 15, 2026. Picks 1 through 7 appear here once the league announces the order, and the simulator then locks to that order. Picks 8 through 15 are to be confirmed: the Oct. 28 release does not publish them, Indiana and Washington both finished 28-16, and the 2025 Atkins deal was announced as swap rights rather than a finished draft order.
2026 records behind picks 8 through 15
The eight clubs in the top eight of the 2026 standings finished the regular season, in the WNBA schedule file, at Minnesota 33-11, Golden State 32-12, Las Vegas 31-13, Atlanta 30-14, Washington 28-16, Indiana 28-16, Dallas 27-17, and New York 26-18. Those are records, not pick numbers. Washington and Indiana are tied, and the lottery release does not publish the rest of round 1.
Questions
When is the 2027 WNBA Draft Lottery?
Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026, from 7:30 to 8:00 p.m. ET (4:30 to 5:00 p.m. PT). It is the 26th annual WNBA Draft Lottery, presented by State Street Investment Management SPY.
When is the 2027 WNBA Draft?
Monday, April 12, 2027. The lottery sets picks 1 and 2 only. The expansion draft for Portland and Toronto was April 3, 2026. That draft already happened.
How does the WNBA draft lottery work?
Fourteen balls numbered 1 through 14 go into the machine, and four are drawn. There are 1,001 four-ball combinations, and 1,000 of them are assigned. The slot that holds the combination gets the first pick. The balls go back in, and the draw is repeated for the second pick. An unassigned combination, or one that belongs to the slot that already won, is redrawn. The five slots that were not drawn then take picks 3 through 7 in pre-lottery order.
Who has the best odds?
Houston and Toronto. Each has 329 of 1,000 combinations, a 32.9% chance at the first pick and a 61.7% chance at a top-two pick. Los Angeles, counting both of its picks, has a 3.6% chance at No. 1.
What does the Houston and Toronto tie mean?
Both clubs are at .250. Houston is 22-66 across 2025 and 2026. Toronto, an expansion team, is 11-33 in 2026 only. The first tiebreaker is the 2026 head-to-head. The Sun went 1-2 against the Tempo: Toronto won 106-102 on June 10 and 101-97 on June 19, and Connecticut won 95-81 on Sept. 24. Houston is first in the pre-lottery order, so the latest pick Houston can land is No. 3. Toronto is second, so the latest pick Toronto can land is No. 4.
Where can I watch the lottery?
ESPN in the United States, after UConn vs. Louisville, and TSN in Canada. The Oct. 28 release does not name a separate streaming service. Bethany Donaphin, head of league operations, reveals the results. Ernst & Young oversees the drawing.
Will JuJu Watkins be the No. 1 pick?
She is the consensus No. 1 on the Ultimate Big Board snapshot of Oct. 29, 2026: 8 of 8 mocks, weighted average 1.0. That is a projection, not the draft. She is on the 2026-27 USC roster. Sports-Reference had one game posted by Nov. 9, 2026. She can stay in school. This page does not say she will be the first pick.
Sources
- WNBA Draft Lottery 2027 release, Oct. 28, 2026
- WNBA and NBA approve the Sun sale, May 13, 2026
- Mystics on the Ariel Atkins trade, Feb. 23, 2025
- League release on the Sky and Ariel Atkins, Feb. 23, 2025
- League trade-deadline note on Kelsey Plum, 2026
- The 2026 WNBA schedule file on this site, taken from the league schedule, for the three Sun-Tempo games and the 2026 records
- 2026 players by service class (CSV)
- WNBA.com roster snapshot saved on this site, checked Oct. 28, 2026, for ages
- Sports-Reference player pages linked on each prospect card
- Ultimate Big Board, 2027 WNBA consensus, snapshot Oct. 29, 2026
- Expansion draft, April 3, 2026
How this page was made: Ryan Moalemi writes Full Court Buckets pages, sometimes with AI assistance. The pick probabilities are enumerated from the league release. Roster minutes come from the site's 2026 player file. College lines are the Sports-Reference pages linked above. How we make Full Court Buckets.